Forecasting

Model Evaluation in Time Series Forecasting

Introducing backtesting for time series using the Skforecast libraryBelow, there are the three described backtesting methods with a random forest regressor used as autoregression.When taking a look at the implementation, the difference between the...

Time Series Forecasting with XGBoost and LightGBM: Predicting Energy Consumption Problem Preprocessing Training the Models Evaluation Preprocessing Weather Data Conclusion & Future Steps

The weather data improve the performance in each models by a major margin. Particularly, within the XGBoost scenario the MAE is reduced by almost 44%, while the MAPE moved from 19% to 16%. For...

Forecasting Potential Misuses of Language Models for Disinformation Campaigns—and The right way to Reduce Risk

OpenAI researchers collaborated with Georgetown University’s Center for Security and Emerging Technology and the Stanford Web Observatory to analyze how large language models may be misused...

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