Forecasting

From Connections to Meaning: Why Heterogeneous Graph Transformers (HGT) Change Demand Forecasting

forecasting errors are usually not brought on by bad time-series models. They're brought on by ignoring structure. SKUs don't behave independently. They interact through shared plants, product groups, warehouses, and storage locations. A requirement shock...

Time Series Isn’t Enough: How Graph Neural Networks Change Demand Forecasting

in supply-chain planning has traditionally been treated as a time-series problem. Each SKU is modeled independently. A rolling time window (say, last 14 days) is used to predict tomorrow’s sales. Seasonality is captured, promotions are added,...

Time Series Forecasting Made Easy (Part 3.2): A Deep Dive into LOESS-Based Smoothing

In Part 3.1 we began discussing how decomposes the time series data into trend, seasonality, and residual components, and because it is a smoothing-based technique, it means we want rough estimates of trend...

From Reactive to Predictive: Forecasting Network Congestion with Machine Learning and INT

Context centers, network slowdowns can appear out of nowhere. A sudden burst of traffic from distributed systems, microservices, or AI training jobs can overwhelm switch buffers in seconds. The issue shouldn't be just knowing...

Time Series Forecasting Made Easy (Part 2): Customizing Baseline Models

you for the sort response to Part 1, it’s been encouraging to see so many readers all for time series forecasting. In Part 1 of this series, we broke down time series data into...

Time Series Forecasting Made Easy (Part 1): Decomposition and Baseline Models

I to avoid time series evaluation. Each time I took a web based course, I’d see a module titled with subtopics like Fourier Transforms, autocorrelation functions and other intimidating terms. I don’t...

Triangle Forecasting: Why Traditional Impact Estimates Are Inflated (And Learn how to Fix Them)

Accurate impact estimations could make or break what you are promoting case. Yet, despite its importance, most teams use oversimplified calculations that may result in inflated projections. These shot-in-the-dark numbers not only destroy credibility with...

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